Hard to avoid the annual summary of events, or the year-end
review of risks, or the New Year forecast of things that should not be forecast
that saturate the print and digital publishing this time of year. I personally suspect that they are written
well in advance so the authors can take holiday in December, but here are my
conclusions, organized by the things I care about:
I seriously do not like war and its consequences, and it
appears that we continue at protracted war. Others continue at war, and there
are threats of war all around the globe with the concomitant destruction of
both of infrastructure and societies. As Pete Seeger told us…….
Politics is universally terrible, and there appears to be
little or no reform in progress either in the US or in any place in the globe.
The despots are still in place, and the popular movements are despotic.
Heath concerns and the paranoia about health foolishly
occupy irrational levels of concern all around the world, but a few glimmers of
hope appear in the form of global charitable investment (not governments) and
the global response to Ebola (actually, governments did well so far). Everyone
still talks about health too much, with few facts and little modifications of
their activities. Are they fools? Well, IMHOP if you are worried about illness
but refused vaccination that pretty much qualifies you as a fool.
Economic growth and sustainable development continue
dramatically in the US, but rarely in the rest of the world. The headline concern for inequality is not
new news, but it should be noted that little is offered as a solution. This is
of course very much related to politics and health, particularly in Africa.
It is encouraging to see some worthwhile efforts rewarded
with success, ad some appropriate failures. The data finally indicates that
clean energy economics are competitive with legacy dirty energy. The leading wealthy individuals and organizations
are making regular inroads in areas where needed. Technology and information
transparency are transforming how many people behave, at least publically. And
one simple Jesuit is rapidly reforming the Catholic Church.
Some bad companies are facing punishment (fines). Some
industries are suffering appropriately (the weight loss purveyors). Some broad
societal misbehavior is getting the public attention it needs (battery).And the
public opinion of politicians continues to be so low that it may well be
transformative (we shall see).
For the near future predictions there is little optimism but
an occasional glimmer of hope. Individuals continue their slide into
self-absorption. Companies, in the
majority, are slow to transform to new realities. Governments are far behind in the basic
investments required, and carrying legacy burdens that make no sense. The older
generations are convinced that the younger generations are still slackers. Wasn’t
it in Bye Bye Birdie that she sang ‘Why can’t they be like we were, perfect in
every way’.
So…..I still look to see if anyone is learning anything from
the past year or years. All the real
data and evidence is there. We just must
get everyone to read it, or hear it, and offer nuanced responses and not blunt
narratives. Happy New Year.
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