Wednesday, February 24, 2016

Grand Game of Bargains – Complexity that defies reform


We climbed to the mountaintop to visit the all-knowing source of wisdom:

Bureaucracy is in need of reform, but our politics creates a system that will not be reformed

“The group in control of the government always receives a share of benefits,

and the coalition that forges a partnership with the government splits the remainder.”

                                                                                                                   Calomiris and Haber (2014)

 

Why can our companies . large and small, control costs but our governments cannot?

 

The Game of Bargains thus is driven by the logic of politics, not the logic of economics. This view of the regulatory system constrains the possible scope for sustaining effective reforms. In a democracy persistent popular support is necessary, but “self-interested” groups will have strong vested interests in forming powerful coalitions to oppose reform and distract and misinform the voting public. Distract them with complexity.

 

Complexity dominates everything in our daily lives.  Why cannot things be simplified?

 

Reform efforts are further hampered by the fact that regulatory reform is complicated and the consequences of bad policies may not emerge for a number of  years. The dominant political coalition with a stake in the existing system may add further complexities to make it difficult for the majority of voters to understand what is  happening. This kind of opacity (whether purposeful or not) undoubtedly impedes reform efforts.

 

I cannot follow politics anymore – since I have concluded that it is a Game of Bargains.  Since the perpetrators continue to add complexity and opacity and the talking heads can day or do anything they wish. They have won.  The battle to be fought is not by my generation, who benefit from the Game of Bargains (since we do not pay for what we have). The younger generations should be fighting this battle, but self-absorption is the rule.

 

So let’s all read Kunstler, pull out old references to Hegel, and let Trump carry on.

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